Tuesday, October 26, 2004

And the undecides – can't decide where to break!

Betsy Newmark notes Pat Caddell saying the notion that the undecided voters break toward the challenger is nonsense.

According to Caddell, a former pollster, that in every polled presidential election that has been close, the undecideds break for the incumbent because they are risk-averse in changing leaders.

Elsewhere, I read the undecideds break toward the challenger because they know the incumbent and are willing to take a chance.

Hmmm...

I think I can safely say, the impact of the undecided voters will be no larger than whatever fraction of the population they comprise.

<*sigh*>

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