After hearing remarks about how it was the "Evangelical base" that elected Bush, it's interesting to look at some real numbers.
Here, Philip Klinkner looks at Bush's performance among several demographic groups. (Performance is defined as the group's percentage representation in the electorate multiplied by the percentage of the group voting for Bush.)
Among evangelical Christians, performance went from 17% to 19% between 2000 and 2004. (31% representation to 34%, 51% voting for Bush to 56%. Multiplying out, we get 16.8 in 2000 and 19.0 in 2004.)
Among those who rejected isolationism, Bush's support went from 34.5 in 2000 to 45.9 in 2004. This increase, 11.4 voters per 100, swamps the gains from evangelicals.
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