Sunday, December 05, 2010

New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are | Watts Up With That?

When a climate model actually successfully predicts actual climate based on initial input values, then I'll take its claims about climate change seriously.
New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are | Watts Up With That?

Abstract

We compare the output of various climate models to temperature and precipitation observations at 55 points around the globe. We also spatially aggregate model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal scales, including a climatic (30-year) scale. Besides confirming the findings of a previous assessment study that model projections at point scale are poor, results show that the spatially integrated projections are also poor.

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